2011: The Year Of The Hybrids
Sunday, January 9, 2011 at 4:51PM Recession and joblessness.
These are the words a good portion of the world is familiar with as the state of their employment the past few years. While the jobless rate is slowly declining(although one report shows that this may partially be due to the fact that some unemployed have stopped searching for employment - Source: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm )
One interesting point that the same report showed was that there are a few sectors which have increased in hiring - most notably hospitality, healthcare, and leisure. Others - at the time of the survey - had not shown a marked increase. With that in mind, it it interesting that most analyst are predicting that 2011 will be the year that the tech industry will pick up in its hiring - especially in the security and healthcare fields. (Source: http://career-advice.monster.com/job-search/company-industry-research/2011-it-hiring-outlook/article.aspx) With that in mind - due to the expected increase - it becomes on natural that some companies may begin to offer perks and advantages to attract top talent both who are unemployed currently as well as from other technology minded companies. (Remember that I said 2011 would be the year of the brain drain?)
What this means for companies is that the iron rules of old are quickly falling away. In this post-recession society which we are slowly entering we have a few competitors for the technologically minded. We have companies which have delayed updates to their infrastructure looking to hire talent which will be able to quickly implement updated equipment/systems to replace their rapidly aging infrastructure. Other companies will be looking to once again implement complex projects or research - something that was unfeasible during the recession period as department budgets and payroll were slashed to keep companies operating. There will also be startup companies which will be reaching maturity or will be looking to ramp up their staff now that the economy is picking up. Startups thrive in recessions as people are displaced from their normal jobs and are allowed to innovate without interruption of a normal day job - but now that the recession is starting to end we will see hiring pick up even in this sector.
What all of this leads to is a job market which for the next few years will be volatile in the tech industry. New blood, as well as returning previously unemployed personnel, will be coming back into the workplace. While some analyst predict that this will lead to a buyers market (ie companies will not need to negotiate) - they are assuming that everyone entering the tech industry workforce is of equal talent. They are assuming that coming into the fray will be an equal number of project managers, helpdesk analyst, operations team members, network engineers, and engineers (both server configuration/running and programming). If you look at the report from Monster, however, you will notice that something big pops out in the upper half of the document. Most of the previous generation of tech employees who were laid off were managers - line managers, project managers, business analyst. In general (there are always exceptions) most of those who were laid off in those positions were management with little to no current technology experience. What this did was shift the responsibility of those rules onto those they once were managers over - the helpdesk analyst, system engineers, and programmers who were now without their manager. This has created a unique situation in the workplace. Due to the need for each of these employees to wear multiple hats, you now have a situation in which there is a diversely skilled labor pool with not only technological expertise but also a wide managerial expertise.
Since hiring is picking up- and it is the manager positions which are expected to pick up a lot of ground - one would expect that all those old project managers and business analyst who are currently unemployed would be picked right back up, right? While some of them may, I believe that the new hybrids which have arisen in the past few years to take their place will instead take their place. Those positions of project manager that open up will be filled by the helpdesk analyst who for the past year has not only been doing their normal job of working on the desk but also helping to lead various projects in the company to make up for the position which was eliminated due to budget constraints. Hiring these type of people presents one distinct advantage over the previous generation of management: this new hybrid generation has current technological knowledge and usually the drive/compulsion to keep those skills up to date.
This dramatic shift in management will usher in new possibilities. Now when a project is discussed, before the design phase even begins, it will be possible to have input from not only a project manager who can help establish the timeline and resources needed, but also provide a qualified opinion on the technological feasibility of the request and if it would be worth it to pursue the project in terms of technology/time needed versus the realistic returns. Having a manager who is also technologically competent instills trust in those whom are under them. If one of their employees comes to them with an idea/question and they are on the same level in terms of the understanding of what is being discussed (without the need to go into the background of how a particular component of the technology is supposed to work versus current performance) not only does this save time in eliminating the background information this also increases the reception of the employee to their managers suggestion(because the manager actually gets the technology), decreases the time of getting feedback/discussion(they are on the same grounds - they both understand technology already), and leads to improved results(two people thinking through something usually results in better outcome, especially if they speak the same language to begin with).
What does this mean for those managers who currently are not technologically educated? In the past it was enough to just be a manager and manage those under you in an efficient manor. Make sure you have enough labor, make sure everyone is there, settle disputes, etc. But as we move into a more technologically focused future and as the economy picks up having a manager that does not speak the same language(technology) as their employees leads to an increase of inefficiencies - especially as there is a large number of qualified manager/employee hybrids. As these hybrids take over the open management positions, it will quickly come to light the benefit of having a manager who is able to communicate to their employees on their level (technologically speaking). Having a manager which understands technology will lead to a decrease in misunderstandings between management and employee, a decrease in perceived technology vudu which technologically minded employees sometimes are able to pull over on their managers (“If you click your heels it makes the computer go faster….”), a realistic expectation on the implantation of a new system/application, etc… The benefit of having a manager who “gets” technology and is a good manager will quickly show that those managers without technological skill working in the technology industry are at a huge disadvantage. These previous generation managers - unfortunately for them - will quickly be replaced by the vast pools of hybrids available eager and willing to move up from their current position to a managerial position. They will need to update their resume and start looking for a position outside of the technology sector.
What will this do to the employment pool? Assuming a rapid uptake in hybrids to the managerial positions this will create a vacuum for new talent as well as for current employees to move into more senior positions. This is where the brain drain comes in (remember - I still think 2011 will be the year of the brain drain). My contention in the brain drain is that as salaries increase in 2011 and the tech industry picks up, top talent from companies which are less than flexible and don’t offer what employees feel to be adequate compensation, will move to companies that offer better pay/flexibility leading to potentially fatal drops in talent of some companies which for the past few years have been able to “abuse” their talent by keeping wages/raises artificially low even though the companies themselves have turned a sizable profit. Another segment of the brain drain is that as these management positions become available and companies are looking to fill these positions with qualified hybrids, employers will sometimes need to look outside of their current company and court employees to come and work for them. This is almost like a double brain drain for some companies as not only their top talent is being lured away but some of those employees also happen to have excellent managerial skills. As these employees move around to managerial positions and to other companies, there will be opening in other companies which then (provided the company decides to re-hire the same position) are either vacant for new talent, talent from other companies, or internal promotions. The net result? Some companies (those with low loyalty) will see an unhealthy portion of their senior staff move on to other positions with other companies and those vacant slots will either be filled with the less talented staff, or with outside hires. For those low positions which are then left open due to re-organization and internal promotions, a new generation of techs will then be brought in - fresh blood if you will. While some may look at this and frown - having fresh perspective and employees new to the company (who do not carry around the baggage of the previous generation of employees) may be exactly what some of the companies who experience the most brain drain need. Its like receiving an injection of caffeine, it can revitalize a stagnant company by introducing new idea and methods which are unburdened by the previous generation and how they did things. A new group of employees removes all currently setup political plays within the company, bringing all things back to a level footing. Who knows, maybe this fresh injection of blood will be what is needed to take a company that before the brain drain was suffering to a fully competitive company as their culture is re-worked from within by the new employees - and maybe the next time a brain drain comes around their company will not be the one who looses workers to other companies but instead attracts employees from their competitors.
2011,
employment,
hybrids,
jobs,
predection,
thoughts in
Technology,
Thoughts 



